FC Monthey vs Coffrane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
4º
2º
37
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VEV
2 - 3
FCM
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CON
2 - 2
FCM
26%
20%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
3 - 2
GRA
71%
15%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 2
FCM
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 3
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Coffrane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
FCC
39%
22%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 4
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 1
SEC
40%
22%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCC
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCP
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |