FC Monthey vs CS Chênois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
4º
2º
39
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
3 - 1
FCM
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCM
28%
20%
51%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
FCM
15%
19%
67%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
ECH
41%
24%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CS Chênois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 0
CON
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 3
CSC
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SEC
2 - 1
CSC
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
CSC
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
5 - 0
CSC
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |