Midleton vs St. Francis FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midleton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
UCC
1 - 2
FCM
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
CAO
3 - 1
FCM
91%
8%
1%
|
10 | 78 | 68 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SHR
4 - 0
FCM
89%
9%
2%
|
10 | 76 | 66 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 2
CAO
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
MON
1 - 0
FCM
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
St. Francis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
DRO
1 - 0
STF
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
STF
2 - 1
LIM
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
COB
1 - 0
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
STF
0 - 1
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
STF
1 - 1
DRO
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |