Métropole Troyenne vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
14º
14º
30
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
THA
17%
19%
63%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 1
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
MET
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
6 - 0
MET
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
REI
2 - 0
MET
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
OBE
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
REI
1 - 1
STR
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
RAO
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 4
STR
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |