Métropole Troyenne vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
14º
14º
32
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
BEL
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 4
MET
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
THL
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 0
OBE
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REI
4 - 3
RAO
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REI
1 - 0
RAO
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 2
RAO
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |