FC Rustavi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
2º
14
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 73 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 52 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
64.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
MER
2 - 1
MET
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MES
0 - 0
MET
22%
27%
52%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MET
2 - 2
GON
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 1
MET
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MET
0 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
SAT
2 - 1
SAM
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MER
1 - 0
SAM
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
GON
2 - 2
SAM
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 1
DIN
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |