FC Rustavi vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
2º
49
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MET
5 - 0
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
MET
1 - 3
WIT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 0
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 0
ADU
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 3
GAR
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
ADU
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
LOK
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |