Marmirolo vs Gonzaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmirolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
PSG
1 - 0
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gonzaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GON
1 - 3
NUO
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
GON
58%
21%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
GON
28%
24%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GON
0 - 0
VIG
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
GON
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |