Marmande 47 vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NAR
4 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
BLA
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
4 - 0
LIM
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 0
TOU
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
ANG
48%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AGD
0 - 0
TOU
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 1
BLA
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |