Marmande 47 vs SA Mérignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
BLA
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NIM
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOR
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 3
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 4
BER
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |