Marmande 47 vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NIM
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAG
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 3
BLA
63%
21%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
LOR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 0
BLA
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 2
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |