Marko vs Thyella D Rafina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+136%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
12º
6º
65
1º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
FCM
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 0
IAL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 0
SYR
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VYZ
1 - 1
FCM
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 0
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 2
IAL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
0 - 3
RAF
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
RAF
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 2
AFA
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
RAF
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |