Marko vs Thrasyvoulos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AGI
2 - 0
FCM
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 2
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VYZ
0 - 0
FCM
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
PAM
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ETH
2 - 0
FCM
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Thrasyvoulos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
THR
3 - 0
ATH
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ATS
0 - 0
THR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
THR
0 - 0
ACH
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
THR
3 - 0
ROD
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
KER
0 - 1
THR
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |