Marko vs Leonidio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 2
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
KER
3 - 1
FCM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FCM
0 - 3
FOS
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
AKV
0 - 1
FCM
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FCM
2 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leonidio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
LEO
0 - 1
APL
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEO
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
0 - 1
AOK
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
PGE
0 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 1
PAN
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |