Marko vs Keratsini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
36
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GIO
0 - 0
FCM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 0
AAO
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FOS
0 - 1
FCM
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCM
3 - 0
AOT
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Keratsini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ANK
0 - 0
KER
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
ETH
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KER
5 - 0
AGI
71%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
KER
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KER
1 - 0
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |