Marko vs Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TPF
2 - 1
FCM
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
1 - 0
FCM
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 2
AOC
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
AGR
0 - 0
FCM
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 0
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AOK
2 - 1
AGI
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
1 - 0
FCM
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
2 - 0
TPF
36%
25%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
AOC
2 - 0
AOK
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
1 - 4
AGR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |