Marko vs Giouchtas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
47
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FCM
2 - 1
ETH
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FCM
2 - 1
AIT
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
FCM
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOS
3 - 1
FCM
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCM
0 - 2
ILI
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Giouchtas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 0
GIO
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
0 - 0
GIO
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
ANK
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AIE
0 - 5
GIO
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
PAO
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |