Marko vs Ethnikos Piraeus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
40
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 0
FCM
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCM
5 - 0
AGI
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 2
FCM
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
KER
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
MOS
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
ANK
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 3
ETH
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
RAF
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 2
GIO
40%
29%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |