Marko vs Athinaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ATS
2 - 2
FCM
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 0
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ROD
1 - 0
FCM
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
FCM
0 - 0
KER
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
IRO
1 - 0
FCM
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Athinaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ATH
2 - 3
ETH
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
ATH
2 - 0
ATS
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ACH
4 - 1
ATH
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 2
ROD
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
KER
2 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |