Marko vs Aris Petroupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
36
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AAP
1 - 1
FCM
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCM
3 - 0
MOS
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 2
ETH
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 0
FCM
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCM
5 - 0
AGI
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
ETH
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
3 - 1
AGI
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
ASP
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |