Marko vs Agia Paraskevi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
34
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 2
FCM
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
FCM
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
ANK
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 5
FCM
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
RAF
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Agia Paraskevi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
AAP
2 - 2
ETH
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 1
AAP
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AAP
2 - 0
AGI
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
AAP
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AAP
0 - 4
KER
83%
12%
4%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |