Marko vs Agios Nikolaos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
35
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 5
FCM
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
RAF
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KER
1 - 1
FCM
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 0
GIO
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FCM
2 - 1
ETH
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Agios Nikolaos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 1
ETH
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 0
ANK
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AGI
1 - 2
ANK
21%
21%
59%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 0
RAF
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ANK
2 - 0
AAO
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |