Marko vs Agios Ierotheos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
2º
3
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 2
FCM
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
KER
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GIO
0 - 0
FCM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 0
AAO
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Agios Ierotheos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 3
ETH
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ANK
8 - 0
AGI
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
0 - 2
MOS
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 3
RAF
18%
25%
58%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KER
5 - 0
AGI
71%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |