FC Marco vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FEL
0 - 1
FCM
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
FCM
1 - 2
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UNM
3 - 3
FCM
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UNM
2 - 0
PEN
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UNM
0 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
UNM
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UNM
3 - 3
FCM
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |