Switzerland Fourth Division Final
Global 3-5
FC Malley vs SC Bruhl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 3
LEM
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCM
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
TER
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FRI
1 - 5
FCM
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 2
MEY
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 1
RAP
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCB
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SCB
2 - 0
MEN
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
SCB
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
4 - 1
GCB
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |