FC Malley vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DUD
5 - 0
FCM
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCM
2 - 4
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FCM
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MEY
6 - 0
FCM
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 1
LEM
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAT
0 - 2
MEY
22%
22%
55%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UGS
2 - 2
NAT
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAT
3 - 1
THU
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ECH
7 - 0
NAT
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAT
2 - 2
FCM
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |