FC Malcantone vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LSS
3 - 3
MAL
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
4 - 1
KUS
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAL
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 1
GOL
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
MAL
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 0
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LSS
2 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
AAR
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
KUS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
5 - 0
IBA
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |