FC Maia vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 2
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
VST
3 - 1
MAI
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 0
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 1
LEX
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNM
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 2
SAL
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 0
UNM
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 1
UNM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |