Lyn 1896 FK vs Raufoss IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
15º
8º
18
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 66 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 42 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
IKS
1 - 1
LYN
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 3
MJO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 1
LYN
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 1
SKE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
LYN
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 1
ODD
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 2
RAU
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 0
STB
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
RAU
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAU
0 - 0
IKS
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |