FC Luzern U16 vs Team Aargau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
39.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
6º
20
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 1
LUZ
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 3
GRA
22%
20%
57%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
LUZ
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
7 - 1
FCT
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TMV
6 - 1
LUZ
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 5
TMA
74%
14%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
TMA
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 5
TMV
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 1
TMA
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TMA
1 - 1
WNT
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |