Lutry vs Portalban / Gletterens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LYS
1 - 2
FCL
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 3
DUR
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SEC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
THI
1 - 0
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Portalban / Gletterens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
LAU
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LER
3 - 3
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LYS
2 - 2
POR
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
DUR
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BUM
2 - 1
POR
54%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |