Lutry vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAV
1 - 1
FCL
74%
15%
10%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 0
FCL
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 3
TER
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
FCL
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
USC
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PER
5 - 0
BEX
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAV
2 - 3
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCO
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |