Lutry vs FC Azzurri 90 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 2
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Azzurri 90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 2
STA
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
USC
2 - 3
FCA
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
SBC
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 3
FCA
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |