Lutry vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SEC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
THI
1 - 0
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 1
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
USC
0 - 2
FCL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 1
LAU
19%
22%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
DUR
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 2
LYS
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
DUR
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
DUR
1 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |