Lutry vs Collex-Bossy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
USC
1 - 0
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
4 - 0
BEX
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
FCL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAV
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
SER
26%
23%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
USC
2 - 1
COL
27%
23%
49%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
MON
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BEX
2 - 4
COL
31%
24%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
COL
0 - 5
SIO
9%
17%
74%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | -1 |