Lutry vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
FCL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAV
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BEX
2 - 1
USC
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BEX
2 - 4
COL
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 3
STA
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VER
0 - 2
BEX
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BEX
2 - 4
SIE
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |