Lommiswil vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
65.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3994%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
16º
14º
31
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 3
FCL
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
DOR
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
4 - 2
FCL
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
FBN
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 1
LER
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LER
1 - 0
STA
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FBN
4 - 2
LER
11%
15%
73%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LER
0 - 1
PRA
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LER
3 - 2
LYS
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |