Lommiswil vs Ajoie-Monterri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3994%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
16º
14º
40
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
LER
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 3
FCL
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
DOR
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
4 - 2
FCL
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
FBN
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajoie-Monterri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCU
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DUD
2 - 0
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
TAV
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 3
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
ALL
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |