Lommiswil vs Dudingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
80.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3994%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
16º
14º
53
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 0
FCL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 6
OLD
7%
12%
82%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCL
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
STA
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DUD
1 - 0
FCU
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUD
3 - 1
LER
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 3
DUD
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DUD
1 - 2
OLD
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DUD
6 - 2
FCS
56%
19%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |