Lommiswil vs Binningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3994%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
16º
14º
32
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FBN
4 - 0
FCL
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LER
0 - 0
FCL
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCU
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +4 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DUD
1 - 1
FCL
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 0
TAV
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
BIN
2 - 1
FCU
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DUD
5 - 0
BIN
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BIN
0 - 1
TAV
56%
22%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OLD
3 - 3
BIN
78%
13%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BIN
0 - 0
ALL
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |