Lokomotiv Kyiv vs PFK Zvyagel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
14º
11º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
FCL
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
RPH
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +5 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCL
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FCL
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
FKK
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 0
RUT
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 1
FCZ
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 1
NYV
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SST
1 - 3
FCZ
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 4
FCZ
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |