Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
14º
11º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCL
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
MET
5%
11%
84%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
LIV
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 60 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
4 - 1
FCL
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 0
UCS
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
0 - 1
FCD
20%
20%
61%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 0
NYV
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
7 - 1
VAM
5%
11%
84%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | +15 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
1 - 2
MYK
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FCD
6 - 1
RYV
6%
12%
81%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | +3 |