FC Linz vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
SSW
2 - 2
LIN
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
LIN
2 - 2
WIE
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
2 - 0
LIN
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
LIN
0 - 0
RAP
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
GRA
3 - 0
LIN
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
RAP
3 - 0
STR
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1978 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1978 |
VIE
0 - 0
STR
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
STR
0 - 0
RBS
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
STR
79%
13%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |