Avirons vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avirons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JEA
2 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
SRS
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
TAM
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASP
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAI
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PIE
4 - 2
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |