Avirons vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avirons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PIE
1 - 0
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 0
ASP
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 0
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
4 - 0
SDF
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 0
ASP
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 0
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 2
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |