Langnau vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Langnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BUM
3 - 2
FCL
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
DUR
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TPA
4 - 4
FCL
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCE
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
THI
3 - 2
TPA
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
2 - 2
THI
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
THI
1 - 4
FCK
24%
23%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
POR
6 - 4
THI
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
THI
1 - 2
SEC
27%
23%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |