Lamezia Terme vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
11º
5º
45
5º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
60.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamezia Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
LAT
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
LOC
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
LAT
62%
19%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LAT
4 - 1
CIT
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSA
3 - 4
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCI
0 - 1
ACI
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AKR
3 - 0
FCI
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
FCI
69%
19%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
CIT
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
USC
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |