FC Lahti vs JaPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
2º
15
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 27 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 22 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 13 |
9º
|
88.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 7 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
FCL
5 - 3
KAP
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TPS
2 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 0
KER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
JIP
3 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 0
SAL
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 1
JAP
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
JAP
2 - 2
KER
53%
22%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
PK3
1 - 0
JAP
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 1
JIP
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 1
JAP
29%
23%
48%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |