Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 2-7
FC Lahti vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
FCL
0 - 0
IFK
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 0
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FCL
0 - 0
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 0
HIF
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ELF
5 - 1
GEF
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ELF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ELF
2 - 2
ORE
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ATV
1 - 2
ELF
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
ELF
2 - 1
HEL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |