FC La Libertad vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2184%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
22
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 31 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 31 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 18 |
17º
|
92.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
11 | 11 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 8 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DJC
2 - 2
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
VEN
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
IZT
3 - 1
FCL
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 1
PFC
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUE
4 - 1
COA
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
NUE
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
NUE
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
DFC
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |