FC La Libertad vs Nueva Concepción analysis

FC La Libertad Nueva Concepción
35 ELO 49
-1.2% Tilt -4.3%
51804º General ELO ranking 20564º
83º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
19.4%
FC La Libertad
21.9%
Draw
58.7%
Nueva Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
FC La Libertad
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.7%
Win probability
Nueva Concepción
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC La Libertad
+2184%
+17%
Nueva Concepción

Points and table prediction

FC La Libertad
Their league position
Nueva Concepción
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
22
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mictlán
34
37
100%
Cotzumalguapa
30
31
23%
Aurora FC
30
31
14.5%
CD San Pedro
28
31
25.5%
Suchitepequez
30
31
0%
Iztapa
25
28
30%
San Benito CF
26
27
10.5%
CSD Chiquimulilla
26
27
13.5%
FC La Libertad
26
26
30%
Coatepeque
13º
23
26
10º
19%
Democracia FC.
14º
23
26
11º
7%
Sacachispas
10º
24
25
12º
10.5%
Universidad San Carlos
11º
24
25
13º
14.5%
Quiché
12º
23
24
14º
30%
AF Guatemala
16º
22
23
15º
27%
Nueva Concepción
15º
22
22
16º
73.5%
Juventud Copalera
17º
18
18
17º
92.5%
Pajapita FC
18º
15
15
18º
92.5%
Gualan FC
19º
11
11
19º
100%
Deportivo Barberena
20º
7
8
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC La Libertad
Nueva Concepción
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
15.5% 0%
Mid-table
84.5% 100%

ELO progression

FC La Libertad
Nueva Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC La Libertad
FC La Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
DJC
Juventud Copalera
2 - 2
FC La Libertad
FCL
71%
17%
12%
28 47 19 0
28 Sep. 2024
FCL
FC La Libertad
2 - 1
Suchitepequez
VEN
17%
22%
61%
26 60 34 +2
25 Sep. 2024
IZT
Iztapa
3 - 1
FC La Libertad
FCL
84%
11%
6%
26 58 32 0
22 Sep. 2024
COA
Coatepeque
1 - 0
FC La Libertad
FCL
74%
16%
10%
26 55 29 0
14 Sep. 2024
FCL
FC La Libertad
3 - 1
Pajapita FC
PFC
49%
21%
30%
25 24 1 +1

Matches

Nueva Concepción
Nueva Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
4 - 1
Coatepeque
COA
35%
26%
40%
49 56 7 0
29 Sep. 2024
PFC
Pajapita FC
3 - 1
Nueva Concepción
NUE
18%
22%
61%
51 24 27 -2
25 Sep. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 0
CD San Pedro
SPD
36%
27%
37%
50 54 4 +1
22 Sep. 2024
QUI
Quiché
0 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
29%
25%
47%
50 46 4 0
15 Sep. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 0
Democracia FC.
DFC
43%
24%
34%
48 50 2 +2